New York GOP Suffers Major Loss Otherwise Preventable
The GOP’s chances to reverse the 2006 losses in a Presidential Election year suffered a significant setback, when New York State Republicans suffered a shocking loss in a Feb. 26th Special Election in an upstate, rural 48th Senatorial District with Democrat Darrel J. Aubertine winning 52% of the vote to Republican William A. Barclay’s 48%, despite the GOP having an almost 2 to 1 edge in the district, 78,454 registered Republicans to only 46,824 Democrats. Aubertine won 27,712 votes to Barclay’s 25,001 votes, sweeping all three counties: Jefferson, Oswego, and St. Lawrence.
The Republican TLI, Turnout Loyalty Index, one of the three key election result indicia to measure party performance, was only 31.86%, whereas the Democratic TLI was 59.18%. Use of Republican All in One would most likely prevented such a significant GOP loss in an election that should have been won, by preventing such a dramatically low Republican TLI. The GOP’s failure to get out GOP votes in a heavily Republican district in a Northern, Mid Atlantic state does not bode well for the GOP in a Presidential Election year, as the bulk of the Republican losses occurred in the New England and Mid Atlantic states, particularly New Hampshire, New York and Pennsylvania.
The Trustees of the Republican Leadership Trust were not notified by the New York State Republican Committee or State Senate Majority Leader Joseph Bruno of the need to deploy Republican All in One™ for this special election. Based on last year’s beta test in selected precincts in Allegheny Co., PA, Republican All in One™ increased Republican turnout 7.5%. Had Republican All in One™ been employed in the New York Special Election, Republican Barclay would have won by 3,173 votes instead of losing by 2,711 votes cast. As a result of this setback, the GOP majority in the New York State Senate is a one-seat margin. Not since 1974 has Albany been in control by one party
Posted: February 28th, 2008 under Uncategorized.
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